Elkhart Memorial
Boys - Girls
2003 - 2004 - 2005
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State Rank #11
New Haven Semi-State Rank #3
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 8th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.9%
Top 5 at State Finals 17.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 76.9%
Advance to State Finals 90.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
20  Jaurice Dye 10 16:07
41  Brett Mravec 12 16:23
50  Bryce Matteson 12 16:28
Matt Zielske 11 17:06
Miguel Rodriguez 11 17:14
Calvin Walterhouse 12 17:22
Derrick Thomas 10 17:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 90.9% 7.8 221 0.9 1.1 3.2 5.3 7.1 10.4 11.6 16.3 12.2 9.1 6.1 4.0 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.2
Semi-State 100% 3.3 119 7.0 25.8 30.5 17.5 10.2 4.8 2.4 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.2
Regionals 100% 2.1 54 11.6 70.6 15.0 2.7 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.8 34 19.7 80.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaurice Dye 98.7% 19.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.8 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.5 3.2 4.0 3.7 4.1 4.0 3.4 3.2 3.3 3.0 4.0 2.9 4.2 3.6 3.0 85.2% 97.5%
Brett Mravec 92.3% 37.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.8 2.3 15.3% 65.9%
Bryce Matteson 91.2% 44.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.5 1.1 0.8 3.3% 46.2%
Matt Zielske 90.9% 108.8 0.0% 0.0%
Miguel Rodriguez 90.9% 119.7 0.0% 0.0%
Calvin Walterhouse 90.9% 130.7 0.0% 0.0%
Derrick Thomas 90.9% 144.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaurice Dye 100% 4.8 6.3 10.3 13.2 11.0 11.3 11.1 7.5 6.8 5.8 4.5 3.6 2.4 1.3 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Brett Mravec 100% 12.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.4 3.0 3.5 5.4 5.9 5.9 7.0 7.8 7.1 6.5 5.3 5.6 4.9 4.1 4.1 3.7 3.1 2.6 1.3 2.1 1.2 1.1 98.5%
Bryce Matteson 100% 15.6 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 2.1 2.1 3.5 4.0 4.7 4.9 5.7 5.5 6.3 6.0 6.3 5.0 4.2 4.4 4.2 4.2 3.9 2.7 2.9 2.7 96.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaurice Dye 100% 2.3 22.1 22.7 19.4 15.5 10.8 4.9 2.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Brett Mravec 100% 6.1 0.6 2.7 5.4 9.8 13.5 16.8 13.7 11.1 9.1 6.2 4.4 2.3 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Bryce Matteson 100% 7.7 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.0 7.2 12.6 15.4 11.7 11.6 8.9 7.6 5.9 4.4 2.5 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaurice Dye 1.2 44.5 28.7 19.0 5.2 2.0 0.5 0.3
Brett Mravec 3.6 0.9 10.6 19.5 30.2 19.7 9.7 5.5 3.5 0.7
Bryce Matteson 4.6 0.3 3.3 9.4 20.0 28.0 16.7 9.9 8.2 4.0 0.4 0.1